Strategy Guide

The 7 strategies of AGITQ Playbook — rules, sources, real-data charts

All seven strategies reproduced on real market data (last 10 years). Tap a card for each strategy’s rules, sources and charts. Descriptions always follow the app’s latest implementation.

At a glance

Classic

Original 200-day SMA

The strategy the app is named after. One single reference: TQQQ’s own 200-day SMA.

CAGR 32% · MDD -50%

Fewer whipsaws

QQQ 3,161

Signals from QQQ’s 3×161-day SMAs, trades in TQQQ — the combination found by the optimization series.

CAGR 45% · MDD -48%

Tax-friendly

QLD ISA (2x)

Same QQQ 3/161 signal, but trading 2x QLD — a milder variant that suits tax-advantaged accounts.

CAGR 32% · MDD -34%

Fewer trades

TQQQ 5,218

TQQQ’s own 5×218-day SMAs — a variant that trades less and rides trends longer.

CAGR 38% · MDD -53%

High win-rate

Hybrid 3,185/161

Asymmetric buy (185) and sell (161) lines — the core lesson: “don’t buy just because 161 was re-crossed.”

CAGR 40% · MDD -48%

Score-based

Score-based (KJP)

Two trend signals summed into a score drive a 3-way TQQQ/QLD/SGOV allocation, with volatility and disparity gates as safety pins.

CAGR 61% · MDD -41%

Snowball

Snowball (5,220 + DIP)

5/220 trend trading combined with 52-week-high drawdown buys — turning bear markets into accumulation.

CAGR 32% · MDD -54%

Common rules

Common to all strategies: simple moving averages (SMA) on daily closes. Overheat is judged by a +5% envelope above the long-term line, and market temperature is split into Falling (below the line) / Focus (line to +5%) / Overheated (above +5%). On sell signals, funds rotate into an S&P ETF (default SPYM) or cash-like bonds (default SGOV). Signal-confirmation days (0/2/3) and partial profit-taking style are configurable in the app.

Backtest charts on this page reproduce the app’s rules on Yahoo Finance daily data (last 10 years, adjusted closes) for reference only. Taxes, fees and slippage are not modeled, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Rule descriptions and live signals always follow the app’s latest implementation. Nothing here is investment advice; decisions and responsibility remain yours.