The original method

The AGITQ Method

One reference — TQQQ's 200-day moving average — decides the market regime, and each regime has a predefined allocation. No predictions. Just rules.

Developed and shared by AGITQ · Official blog blog.naver.com/humblich

The idea

There is exactly one reference: the 200-day moving average of TQQQ (the 3x Nasdaq ETF). Where the closing price sits relative to that line defines one of three regimes, and each regime comes with a fixed action. Nothing is left to judgment — so emotion never gets a vote.

Three regimes, three rules

Falling

TQQQ close < 200-day SMA

Sell all growth assets (TQQQ, SPYM) and move 100% into SGOV (short-term treasuries). Step fully off the leverage and wait for the next signal.

Focus

200-day SMA < TQQQ close < SMA +5%

Swap all SGOV into TQQQ, and new money buys TQQQ too. If you hold SPYM bought during the overheated regime, keep it. This band is where most of the strategy's returns are made.

Overheated

TQQQ close > SMA +5% (envelope)

Keep existing TQQQ, but park new money in SPYM to manage risk. It may be a short-term overheat signal, so build the stable asset instead of chasing.

Why SPYM must not be touched

When the focus regime arrives, it's tempting to sell SPYM as well and go all-in on TQQQ. Over the long run, that choice tends to eat your returns.

SPYM is the account's ballast. It keeps the whole account from collapsing when TQQQ crashes, and that bit of stability compounds into a large long-term difference. Of course, when the falling regime arrives, SPYM is sold too — by the rules — into SGOV.

The strategy on real data

These charts reproduce the exact rules on the last 10 years of data. Green shading marks TQQQ holding periods — walking sideways through the 2022 bear and re-entering on the 2023 golden cross is this strategy's signature scene.

Last 5 years · green shading = holding periods

Last 10 years · growth of $1 (no taxes/fees; reference only)

Full rules & FAQ for this strategy

Summary

Falling — sell everything → 100% SGOV
Rising (near the 200-day line) — SGOV → TQQQ; keep SPYM
Overheated (+5% and above) — new money to SPYM; hold TQQQ
Never sell SPYM during focus — except in the falling regime

Sources

• Original post (fmkorea, Korean)
• [Official] restatement (Korean)
• FAQ (Korean)
• Backtest verification (Korean)
• Official blog (Korean)

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Disclaimer — This method is reference material only; investment decisions and responsibility are yours. Leveraged ETFs carry high loss risk alongside high potential returns. Invest carefully, with full understanding.